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URGENT URGENT Re: Draft Chek Lap Kok Outline Zoning Plan No. S/I-CLK/13
1 Feb 2016
This message serves to inform TPB that I have received from Lands Department two Marine Traffic Impact Assessment (MTIA) Reports and that the new information revealed that TPB has not be fully apprised of the serious marine and aviation safety problems and that the assessment of the acceptability of additional risk of marine accidents by the consultant was grossly wrong. Under such circumstances, TPB must not make any decision on the Draft CLK OZP now.
I attended TPB meetings on 11 and 12 January 2016. On 12 January, on slides No. 10 and 11 of my powerpoint presentation, I expressed concern about the impact of the third runway and the associated reclamation on maritime safety as well as the impact of marine transport on aviation safety.
At that time, I commented that:
(a) no information was available from the Marine Traffic Impact Assessment Report
(b) the growth of ocean-going vessels was under-estimated
(c) no information was available on the impact of tall ships on aviation safety
I specifically mentioned that no MTIA reports were available at that time. I also reminded TPB that until it has sufficient information on the subject and until the questions about safety issues are cleared, no decision should be made.
Two MTIA reports were dispatched to me by Lands Department with a letter dated 14 January. I was required to reply by 28 January. I eventually sent my reply re-affirming my formal objection under the Foreshore and Sea-bed (Reclamation) Ordinance on 26 January. The reply with detailed explanation of my grounds is attached. (註1)
The point of critical importance is that I discovered a gross mistake made by the consultant in computing and assessing the societal risk of additional marine accidents arising from the third runway. By following the correct procedures, the re-computed values of frequencies of accidents resulting in N or more fatalities (N = 1, 2, 3 and 10) all fall within the "UNACCEPTABLE" zone in the relevant diagram.
The contents of the MTIA Final Assessment Report (March 2015) also confirm that the number of ocean-going vessels has been under-estimated and that the impact of tall ships (including oil drilling platforms and derricks with high airdraft) on aviation safety remains an open issue with no solution, especially with regard to tall ships "cutting corners" in Mainland waters off the north-west corner of the marine restricted area and with regard to tall ships in Lantau Island Anchorage No. 2 (again in Mainland waters) off the western end of the third runway.
In the light of this new and substantive information, the TPB must not allow the proposed revision of the CLK OZP now.
To help the layman understand the complex issues, I have written a blog article (which was also published in Ming Pao on 31 January). It is also attached. (註2)
You are requested to urgently communicate this message as well as the attachments to the chairmen and members of TPB, to apprise them of this latest information (which has been kept away from me until after my attendance at TPB meetings).
I strongly recommend that TPB require the proponent of OZP revision to supply the two MTIA reports to TPB immediately, and to allow me an opportunity to explain the gross mistake which the consultant has made as well as the other risks which deserve close examination.
To proceed to make a decision on OZP revision without addressing this safety issue in full would push
people into a less safe regime regarding marine and air transport. It
would also not be due process nor good governance.
"Safety" is one key value which TPB is required to uphold according to the Town Planning Ordinance. Please do ensure that it is not overlooked or pushed aside owing to "economic" consideration.
Please kindly acknowledge receipt of this message and confirm in due course the communication of this message to chairman and members of TPB.
Lam Chiu Ying
TPB/S/I-CLK/13-C138 and R399